Happy Monday everyone! Hope you all are doing well. This is going to be a full portfolio breakdown so let’s get right into it.
Accurate as of Market Close 09/29/2025
Initial Portfolio Value: $22,369.45
Current Total Portfolio Value: $22,928.76
Portfolio Percentage Change: +2.50%
[LONG] NIO:
Buy 09/11/2025: $100.75 (17.342881 shares at $5.81)
Buy 08/22/2025: $323.00 (50.35074 shares at $6.42)
Buy 08/22/2025: $1000.00 (156.00624 shares at $6.41)
Initial Value: $1,423.75
Current Value: $1,603.91
Percentage Change: +12.65%
[LONG] CRGY:
Buy 09/10/2025: $4,999.98 (580.380731 shares at $8.62).
Initial Value: $4,999.98
Current Value: $5,266.96
Percentage Change: +5.34%
[LONG] SOC:
Buy 09/22/2025: $5,000.00 (209.555741 shares at $23.86).
Buy 09/29/2025: $1,000.00 (54.156512 shares at $18.47)
Initial Value: $6,000.00
Current Value: $5,142.39
Percentage Change: -14.29%
[LONG] BABA:
Buy 09/17/2025: $4,991.40 (30 shares at $166.38)
Initial Value: $4,991.40
Current Value: $5,400.30
Percentage Change: +8.19%
[LONG] GDX:
Buy 09/17/2025: $4,954.32 (72 shares at $68.81)
Initial Value: $4,954.32
Current Value: $5,515.20
Percentage Change: +11.32%
NIO:
NIO recently released the most anticipated ES8 on September 20, 2025. The ES8 is their 3rd generation large electric SUV and sold out almost immediately. Yet much to our surprise, the stock took a tumble after release. What happened to all that momentum? Well, they weren't prepared for the high demand and oversold their 40,000 unit capacity for 2025. This means all subsequent orders will need to wait until 2026. Although not ideal, the demand is there so obviously NIO is focusing on the right things. Yes customers will need to wait but it proves that NIO is a top contender in the EV space. But that isnt the end of the story as China's Ministry of Commerce passed a new bill beginning January 1, 2026. This new bill will require automakers to obtain export permits to export EV vehicles. In the end, it all comes back to the trade war with China. This is clearly retaliation from China to make a statement that China is not just the land of cheap exports. With all the being said, the stock is still holding above $7 USD. For the time being, I'm still bullish on NIO since I don't think we've seen the extent of their innovation quite yet.
CRGY:
CRGY has been performing well up until today when it dropped about 7%. With the next earnings report coming up in November, analysts are projecting an EPS of 0.33 to 0.35 which is a stark drop from last year's Q3 EPS of 0.53 so I suppose that's the cause for some worry. Overall I'm not concerned as they are still in a fantastic spot after the merger. Oil prices have been down so of course they aren't going to over drill their premium resources such as the Permian Basin during this period. I think CRGY has plenty of room for growth and this slump is mostly attributed to commodities coming to the forefront of the market as besides the expected lower EPS for Q3, there are no other negative sentiments weighing over their heads.
SOC:
Sable Offshore has been a large point of contention amongst energy sector investors recently. This is a riskier position given the recent lawsuits and permitting delays that are plaguing the restart of their pipelines. To make matters worse, if they are unable to restart pipelines this year, they will be subject to California’s new bill SB 237 which will cause more delays in the permitting process. Given these issues can be resolved, we could see a significant upside as analysts have set target prices of $32 to $35. Sable just released a new investor presentation where the gave a second option if they can't get the greenlight this year. I highly recommend you go view the presentation for yourself but the TLDR is that option two is the use of tankers. Why is this a great idea? Well for starters it means they can market both domestically and internationally. It also means they wouldn't have to be subject to California's slew of taxes or any additional legal trouble. Personally my target price to sell will be around $30. I bought $1000 worth of additional shares today as I believe the price will most likely break $20 again which will help to mitigate any losses if I decide to not keep it as a long position.
BABA:
Not much to say here. BABA's AI push has been rallying the stock so much that analysts keep pushing their price targets higher and higher. I do think that U.S. equities are overvalued currently which is why I bought BABA over NVDA. TSLA is also another great example of this as their financials and slow sales in Europe suggest the stock price should be in the red. It's all just a matter of time before reality catches up with some of these companies.
GDX:
Again not much to say. GDX has been doing very well as expected and will continue to do well as the Feds plan to cut rates further. People are finally realizing that Bonds and Certificate of Deposit (CD) rates are not coming back anytime soon. Evidently enough that is what they get for not trying to do more with their money. Oh but CD's are a "safe" investment. True you aren't losing money or exposed to any volatility but you really aren't earning much. Long are the days of living off of CD interest. You have to work for it now. House always wins.
Closing Thoughts:
I expect to be injecting the portfolio with new cash hopefully by mid October. I am quite pleased with the current holdings so far. I think that the dip in SOC detracts majorly from the total earnings but once the price stabilizes, I think we'll see a more accurate picture of the portfolio's true performance. From here I'm wondering if I venture back into U.S. equities but again, I think a lot of companies right now are overvalued. Buying into Silver and Platinum have been in the back of my mind as commodities have been showing strong growth. Quantum computing might be another worthwhile long position but I'm still yet to come to a conclusion. One of the biggest takeaways from this project so far is that I need more capital. If we just focused on the percentage gains individually, these are some pretty great numbers for the short time this portfolio has been live for. However, this is a great reminder to take one step at a time and not rush the process. Just because I want to see large returns, doesn't mean I'm necessarily ready to handle large sums of money. These hedge fund managers handle hundreds of thousands of dollars a day with pure 100% conviction. I'm just not at that level yet and that's okay. But one day I will be and when that time comes, I'll get to have my cake and eat it too.
Quote of the Day:
“Sometimes you climb out of bed in the morning and you think, I’m not going to make it, but you laugh inside — remembering all the times you felt that way.”
('Gamblers All', Charles Bukowski)
DISCLAIMER:
“This post reflects my own personal opinion and is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or investment recommendations. Please do your own research or consult your personal investment, legal, and tax advisor before making any investment decisions.”